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Some Random Notes

22

Even with spring ball beginning it’s a slow time of year. There isn’t much to write about right now, so I’ll share the notes and observations I’ve collected over the past few days while thumbing through all things OSU.

1. Michael Phillip will have his knee scoped. Rumor is he might need minor surgery. Clearly this is the most disconcerting news from the past few days. You hear one report from source x and another from source y, so who knows? The fact that most agree he won’t return until the fall is a bad sign. It means the injury, whatever it is, is worse than originally thought. The worst part about this is that it’s another position with no depth–Wilder McAndrews now steps in, and he is, simply put, not a good player. I once calculated how much money (in scholarships) OSU has paid McAndrews per down played, and it was close to 10k…that was last year. Probably close to 15k now. Scary-bad investment. I’m sure it will be a day or two before he breaks his arm, and then we’re on to another elite talent in Timi O.

2. The baseball team is treading water. Yes, they took 2 of 3 in the Pac-10 opening series, and it was on the road…bravo. But USC is one of the weaker teams in the conference. My observation early on that the pitching is just good, but not great, is holding true. Good pitching, average-to-good defense, and weak hitting–I’m not sure this is the recipe for success in this conference. I expect a frustrating string of series loses vs the upper echelon with said loses averaging out [with wins] against weaker foes.

3. We’re 3 days into camp, and I’m tired of reading about the “QB controversy”…we just finished going through this with the last batch. Can we please settle on a QB and go with him? Anyone else feel exhausted by the yin/yang of our QB situation the past 4 years?

4. We signed a guy named Ryan Handford. He’s another “under the radar” recruit who I’m told is a late bloomer. After watching his film, he does show some promise. When running he looks like ex-safety Bryan Payton, and when hitting he reminds me of Coy Francies. The curious thing is that the Beavers need help at other positions (i.e. DE, LB) much more than CB. Another funny note about this signing was reported by Cliff Kirkpatrick, who wrote that the Beavers offered Handford because they “liked his Youtube video.”

5. That’s about it, anything else you’d like to discuss go about it in the comments. This Angry Beaver is off to celebrate his birthday.

Spring Practice

19

As the Fresh Prince astutely noted in 1987, girls ain’t nothing but trouble.

Am I right, Matt LaGrone and David Pa’aluhi?

Pa’aluhi, a star linebacker, and the one LB of the current corp who could make an NFL impact, quit football to go home and pursue a military career in order to support his girlfriend and child. Matt LaGrone followed suit and left for Reno to be with his wife and daughters.

The problem I have with these decisions aren’t football related. The team will recover. Tony Wilson looks like a very good player; Taylor Henry, equally adroit.

My issue is with these women. Why are they not willing to stand by their men and support them as they pursue a dream? Granted, I have no idea of the details, but I do know LaGrone’s wife said she did not want to move to Corvallis. If I were pursuing a dream, and the woman who mothered my children said that, I’d probably be done with her. No, I know I would. Not only is she dictating this man’s life, but she’s being short-sighted in passing up (potentially) thousands of dollars in an NFL career. Now she has a man in Reno with no college degree, no possible NFL career, and presumably no prospects. And Matt Lagrone agreed to this. Shame on him.

Pa’aluhi is a tougher case. Fewer details, military “dreams”…(did he always dream of his or did he simply wake up and decide he needed the money?). Tough call, a more sensitive situation, and with fewer details. I’m not going to grill this guy as much. Being from Hawaii, at least Pa’aluhi girl would have had a culture to leave behind…it’s more understandable if she doesn’t want to move, and on top of that Pa’aluhi has some options.

But boy are these men whipped. Unless football wasn’t a dream of theirs they’ll wind up regretting this long after these girls are out of their lives–let’s face it boys, the divorce rate is astronomical and these don’t exactly sound like healthy, supportive relationships. Unless they’re trying to play the “good guy”/”real man” card, which is nothing more than a euphemism for guilt/pressure to support their kids. But the best support for those kids would be a loving, understanding wife and an NFL career.

As far as spring ball, this is the only real news worth discussing so far. I don’t think the QB battle is much of one unless Katz goes down. Lalich simply looks out of place and uninspired. Katz has the “it” factor the position has lacked since Jonathan Smith, or maybe Matt Moore’s senior year.

Beavs Sign Home & Home w/BYU

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What do you do if you’re a smoker dying of lung cancer?

Ask the Oregon State Beavers and they’ll likely tell you to light one up and take a drag.

A team that, since 2006, has gotten drubbed in OOC games by Penn State, Boise State, and Cincinnati (twice), is now looking to add to that momentum by inking deals with TCU, Boise State, Wisconsin, and BYU over the next two years.

Good or bad?

I have to say, I like the devil-may-care scheduling. To be fearless and believe you can play with the big boys is the first step in that self-fulfilling prophecy ringing true.

My question is this: do the Beavers actually believe they can win these games or are they just intriguing money grabs? Using history as an indicator, it’s hard to believe Riley & friends believe they’re going to come out of these games looking good, especially if they’re on ESPN/prime time (a slot they only thrive in versus familiar PAC-10 foes).

I know fans will be jacked up for these games, at least until they kickoff (and the drubbing begins!). That’s when we’ll hear the complaints that Bob D should have scheduled Montana, Idaho, Portland State, or a directional vocational school…just like the SEC does. It’s a valid argument, but if you believe it then make it now. Personally I think it’s interesting that the Beavers are taking this uber-aggressive approach. They haven’t been able to deliver the fanbase a BCS game for some time, and some of these games (see TCU) will have that feel. Even if it doesn’t make college football sense as defined by the SEC, it’s exciting, right?

Schopenhauer v. The Kool-Aid

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All truth passes through three stages: First, it is ridiculed; Second, it is violently opposed; and Third, it is accepted as self-evident.

That’s a five-star quote if I’ve ever read one.

There’s a revolt brewing, angry beavlings. A Civil War; a fractured fan base. Fight the good fight.

File this one under “academics.”

"In Riley We Trust"

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I’ve been meaning to dispel the notion in Beaverland that Mike Riley is a great talent evaluator for some time. In this edition, I’ll look at all the 1, 2, 3, and 4-star busts Riley has evaluated and signed dating back to the 2006 and 2007 classes. Any later (i.e. 2008) and the player has not had adequate time to develop. I define a “bust” as a player who (a) is more than two years into his Beaver career who has not yet contributed nor shows signs of contributing in the near future or (b) has played but at a sub-par level. Players who left for missions and non-qualifiers are left off the list and not included in final percentages.

2006

****

None.

***

Tom Hansen

Ryan Pohl

**

Keo Camat

Kaulin Krebs

Timi Oshinowo

Suaesi Tuimaunei

Michael Hunt

Keith Robertson

* and fewer

Chris Johnson

Totals:

Failure Rate: 9/26 or 35%

Success Rate: 17/26 or 65%

Comments: As noted above, LDS players like the Unga brothers, Mau Nomani, and Geoff Garner were left off the list completely and not included in the 26 (i.e. class total would have been in the 30s with all these players).

Final grade: 63% is a “D” on any exam.

2007

****

David Ross

***

Ryan McCants

Will Darkins

Latu Moala

Ahmed Mokhtar

Sioeli Nau

Keith Pankey

Kevin Frahm

**

Kevin Pankey

Carl Sommer

Anthony Watkins

Kyle Bell

Michael Cole

Jesse Fifita

Danzel Issac

Leaualofa Liilii

Tonu Tuimalealiifano

Rory Ross

Colby Prince

Totals:

Failure Rate: 19/29 or 66%

Success Rate: 10/29 or 34%

Comments: Non-qualifiers such as Jon Ione, Jake Gelakoska, Reggie Dunn etc were left off the list. I tried to do this with the 2006 list as well, but frankly I can’t remember the plight of every player  (e.g. Danzel Issac), so if I missed one let me know and I’ll adjust the percentage as necessary.

Final Grade: 34% is a low F.

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What is interesting to note is that over the two year period examined Riley Failed (51%) more often than he succeeded (49%). That percentage essentially equates to a coin toss–a low, failing grade by all standards. As you can see, many of the “turned stones” have nothing underneath them. Please, let’s dispel this myth that Riley is a better talent evaluator than myself, yourself, the scouting sites, or other head coaches. All of our opinions, analysis, and judgments of these athletes have just as much merit as those of a head coach who is wrong half the time. Let’s drop the slogan “in Riley we trust” from the Beaver lexicon.