Home Baseball College World Series: Mississippi State vs Oregon State

College World Series: Mississippi State vs Oregon State

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Game 1 – 3 p.m. (ESPN 2/3): Mississippi State Bulldogs (48-18) vs. No. 3 Oregon State Beavers (50-11)

The rotation for this series is Moore, Boyd, Wetzler.

Miss St stats:

  • 38th in batting (OSU 59th)
  • 31st in runs (OSU 59th)
  • 33rd in OBP (OSU 53rd)
  • 76th SLG (OSU 79th)
  • 13th ERA (OSU 2nd)
  • 66th Fielding % (OSU 47th)

On paper MSU wins most catetgories, and the pitching advantage is not great for the first time this post-season. Beavs will have to score 4 or 5 to win.

Beav fans should get a kick out of this.

79 COMMENTS

  1. Based on watching OSU's post-season games on TV, and some googling on Mississippi State, here are a few random thoughts regarding today's game against MSU:

    MSU's starter today, senior Kendall Graveman, appears to be a solid, experienced pitcher, with good control, but he also seems quite hittable.  Graveman throws a sinking fastball in the high-80's, a good changeup, and a nothing-special curveball.  He's a ground ball pitcher, not a strikeout pitcher.  Graveman was chosen in the 36th round last year, and in the 8th round this year by the Blue Jays (the same team that chose Matt Boyd in the 6th round).  http://www.bluebirdbanter.com/2013/6/7/4407488/blue-jays-pick-kendall-graveman-rhp-in-the-8-round-pick-235

     

    Against Graveman, OSU's hitters need to be patient, work the count, and wait for their pitch.  Graveman can't blow the ball past anyone, and doesn't have a sharp-breaking curveball as an "out" pitch — good news for Conforto and Davis, who got fooled repeatedly by sharp-breaking curveballs or sliders during the past few games.

    Getting to Graveman early may be key to OSU's success against Mississippi State today.  Mississippi State has a very strong bullpen, and a lights-out closer (Jonathan Holder) who strikes out about 40% of the batters he faces.  If Mississippi State is leading after seven innings, MSU is very tough to beat. http://djournal.com/view/full_story/22875021/article-RICK-CLEVELAND–Give-credit-for-Bulldogs%E2%80%99-success-to-the-bullpen

  2. Eggers tweeted around 10am pct: "Saw OSU southpaw Max Englebreckt as he was walking out for BP. Asked how he was feeling. "Good." Can you pitch today? "Yessir!"

    • Didn't start out well with Conforto playing the first ball put in play into a double but Moore did what he usually does and got the job done after that.

  3. Boyd is warming up, which means the plan is to use Wetzler on Monday and hopefully win the first 2 games and start Boyd on Friday. I like this decision.

    • Why do you like that?

      I’d rather pitch Boyd in game 2 and use Moore on Friday. Moore is pitching better right now, and Boyd is a better matchup (experience, gutty) vs Louisville or Indiana. Wetlzer isn’t tested and I don’t love him in that game. But, I am not high on Wetlzer so there’s that. I just think you throw your best guys.

      Beavs have to win this game, too. Say Boyd comes in and then they lose–that F’s everything up. I’m hoping Boyd was just doing some routine bullpen work to keep his arm in shape.

      • Boyd is their most reliable lefty reliever at this point with Engelbrekt out, wouldn’t throwing Boyd here give the Beavers the best chance for OSU to win this game? I disagree Wetzler hasn’t been tested. He’s pitched in big games. Pitched in the SR at Vandy in 2011 and threw in the game that got the Beavers to Omaha and he’s been pitching really well. Has had 1 bad game in 2 months basically. I’m okay with Wetzler going on Monday and they’ll pretty much have a full bullpen behind him. I don’t have a problem with this move.

  4. I don’t really mind Boyd pitching right now because he can still go Friday and I have no problem with Wetzler going for game 2. My biggest issue is Casey’s apparent complete lack of faith in our bullpen. It’s going to be near impossible to win the CWS without using the bullpen at all.

  5. Casey: if game tied, bunt there. If down a run, don’t give up an out with only 3 left. They’d just walk Conforto anyway! Come on.

  6. Game over.
    Feel like this loss is on Casey. Should have left Moore in to face Renfro–got him out 3 times and has gutted outs like that while gassed all season. Not only blew the game but screwed the Beavs the rest of this series if Boyd can’t go Monday. Bad pinch hitter, and bad bunt with 2 strikes and only 3 outs left in the 9th.

    • TD Ameritrade is a graveyard for hitters. They’re gonna have to bring in the fences at some point. It’s a joke of a park. I’ve seen dozens of balls crushed like that and stay in there. Really unfair to hitters.

  7. Hey, this is just clever Beaver strategy. You blow the first game of a series, to get energized and focussed. ….I hope.

  8. I think Casey knows his team better than we do. Bad at bats by Peterson and Davis . Davis looked bad at the plate all day.

  9. My view from 10,000 miles away and not even seeing the game. This was a bad loss by the Beavs. You give up an unearned run in a one run game and the guys you rely on laid a turd. Davis hits into a DP with 2 on and then fans with two on. Boyd gives up a two out two run double.

    I don’t know about the wisdom of bringing in Boyd to face a bunch of right handed batters. At some point we’re going to HAVE to use the pen and need Boyd to start.

    I agree with Angry that it was a bad deal to give up an out in the 9th if it was a true sac attempt but Peterson has been so good all season at beating that bunt out and it keeps you out of the DP. Most other parks we wouldn’t be talking about it as it sounds like Hayes hit the ball hard enough to get out.

    I’m not a fan of first pitch swinging just to be an aggressive hitter. If it’s not the pitch you want make him throw another. The more he throws the better chance he makes a mistake.

    And Jansen to PH? I know Day hasn’t looked to good at the plate lately but at least let him win the game for you because you know Jansen isn’t going to. Chances are Day wouldn’t hit into a DP either, he’d crush it or strike out.

    I still think the Beavs can win this thing but their chances took a dip going to Boyd and losing.

    • “I’m not a fan of first pitch swinging just to be an aggressive hitter. If it’s not the pitch you want make him throw another.”

      I’m not a fan of first pitch swinging just to be aggressive, either, but I do wonder if the scouting report on the Beavs doesn’t suggest that they rarely swing at first pitches,so you might as well try to throw a strike. Then if the next pitch is fouled off . . .

  10. Not a big fan of some of Casey’s decisions today, but I think the main problem was lack of clutch hitting.

    For the game, Beavs were 2 for 13 with runners in scoring position (.154 average).

    If you want to focus on one guy who needs to play better, a good choice might be Dylan Davis, OSU’s cleanup hitter, who was 0 for 5 on the day, including grounding into a DP with runners at 1st and 2d, and then (in the 9th) striking out with runners on 1st and 2d. For good measure, Davis also committed an error in RF that cost the Beavs a run.

    Louisville on Monday. Here’s hoping that Conforto stays hot, and that Dylan Davis gets his act together by then.

    • These are comments I got out of the Statesman Journal.
      Casey: “We’re not going away. If somebody beats us, they’re gonna hopefully have to rip the uni right off our back”

      About Boyd: “We had the right guy in the game, Mo got us to where we should be. We should have finished, but we didn’t”

      “We talk about our character all the time, You can have strong will, big character and get beat. It’s the game of baseball.”

      On the game winning hit by Rea, Casey said the call from the bench was a fastball in. “And he threw a change away. I asked for vanilla and he gave me chocolate.”
      Boyd said if he threw the change-up in the right spot it would have induced a pop-up.

  11. Beavs will be facing a tough pitcher tomorrow: Louisville’s Jeff Thompson, a 6’6″ right-hander who was named the top pitcher in the Big East this season, and was a third round draft pick of the Detroit Tigers. He’s a power pitcher who has allowed only 10 base runners and two runs in 13 innings in this year’s NCAA tournament, with tournament opponents hitting only .130 against him.
    http://www.wdrb.com/story/22604931/bozich-louisvilles-thompson-prefers-silence-then-silencing-bats

    All the Beavs — not just Conforto — will need to bring their “A” game.

  12. again, the heavy money is on OSU–lay 275 to win 100…which I find amazingly high…obvious key to the game is me not watching in live time, or better RISP production.

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