Home Blog Page 234

Oregonian Piles on Bob DeCarolis

38

You can read the article here. I post as “blogbeav” over there. If you comment on O-live, leave a link to AB, as I don’t read or comment much over there anymore.

Moving on…

They don’t mention Bob D by name, but the headline + photo says it all. It would be nice if they had the guts to actually say what they’re implying, though.

They also don’t understand opportunity cost, which you economic types might know is the cost of the option not taken (or next best option). While we’ll never know what that option was, we know it was better than the ones chosen, so there was more damage than is being recognized or acknowledged.

Maybe O-live can write a piece about OSU’s finances, because from what I see, the AD is overstating them. And for obvious reasons. If OSU admits to having money, then the excuses and implications that this is the best we can do would vanish, and those at the top would have to admit and then be held accountable for their incompetence. As long as fans believe OSU is broke, they will excuse the mediocrity and use the perceived destitution as a self-imposed crutch. The AD has every motivation to keep jawboning that message.

Living in Fear

39

My theory is that we have Bob D and Mike Riley because the large OSU donors are living in fear.

These people likely are, or were, successful entrepreneurs, who at some point in their lives took a big risk that paid off. So what happened to that maverick spirit? Did they become advocates of the status quo (not just football, but in life) because they’re afraid of losing everything in the event of a paradigm shift? Did they get old, and grow into the conservative principles that come with age? I don’t know. But something is holding these people back from making the radical changes that are obviously necessary.

We hear over and over that what’s holding back change is Mike Riley’s 10, 20, infinity year contract. But even before that contract was signed, the donors would balk at the idea of change. So I DO NOT believe this is a money issue. Add to that the TV revenue. Bob D constantly talks about money because it’s in his interest to make fans believe there’s a revenue problem. That he and his cronies are the best we can do under such a tight budget. Here are budget figures from 2013. These will increase dramatically over the next four years as the TV deal is back-loaded. Again, the money is there. By coaching standards, Riley should have been paid more the past decade. The buyout could be viewed as fair pay for those years, if people need to rationalize it.

From what I remember, the old Pac-10 deal under Tom Hansen was 40 million total with big market teams getting larger percentages. Okay, under that paradigm Bob D can complain about money. But if he can’t make things work with the current arrangement, then it’s yet another Bob D incompetency. By crying about revenue, he only further exposes his ineptitude.

Back to the original point: living in fear is no way to live. Risk carries no guarantee, but there becomes a point where the risk-reward curve gets skewed in one’s favor, and I think as a fanbase we are at that point. We’ve argued back an forth for years, and it is quite clear after a decade plus of this coach that he is not going to “take the next step”. This is indisputable as far as I’m concerned. If we take a shot at a young coach or a bigger name and it failed, would anyone miss this current regime? The current “mediocrity”. I wouldn’t. We know how this story ends. There is zero excitement, and whenever Riley does just enough to garner excitement, he subsequently lays a massive, ostrich-sized egg.

Donors: not to be a hackneyed ass, but there is nothing to fear but fear itself. Cut this regime loose. You have maverick spirit somewhere inside. Rekindle it!

Our Basketball Team is Horrible

94

More of the same. Junk ball, no defense, lack of intensity, focus, and execution, etc.

Another embarrassing loss.

Another “first win ever versus a pac-10 school” –Choppin State this time. They were 0-16. Why do so many teams get their first and only Pac wins versus the Beavs? Hmm.

Mike Parker says, “Oregon State soccer had a heartbreaking loss earlier today.”

So, just more of the same. Embarrassing loses where the opponent has never beaten a Pac school, heartbreaking loses, etc etc. The fire Bob Decarolis chants will get louder as this basketball season progresses.

Coppin State @ Oregon State (Basketball Season Opener)

33

I did not even know basketball started today. That’s how excited I am for this season.
I’m not going to watch, but here’s a thread for those who do.

Mike Riley in Games that Matter

107

I’m looking through CFDW and can’t find any big game victories.

In fact, I can’t even find many big games.

I’d list:

2008 Civil War
2009 Civil War
2012 Stanford

These games had National/BCS bowl implications, so “big game” applies. Riley is 0-3.

Then there are the intriguing games that weren’t necessarily big games:

LSU 2004 L
USC 2006 W
Cal 2007 W
Penn State 2008 L
USC 2008 W
TCU 2010 L
Boise State 2010 L
Wisconsin 2011 L
Wisconsin 2012 W
Washington 2012 L
Texas 2012 L

So Riley is 4-7 in these games. You could argue some other games, like Boise St 2006 were intriguing. They don’t help Riley’s cause, though. And maybe USC 2006 was just a “good win”, but not an intriguing game. Morale was low going into that game, but there was something in the air that day. If you take away USC ’06 and add Boise St 2006 (national TV game, ESPN, favorite, etc) he’s 3-8.

Anyway, in both the USC games and Cal, OSU was a big underdog (i.e. zero pressure). So out of these games, that leaves Riley with 1 victory (Wisconsin) where there was an expectation to win (granted, the line was -7, but many fans thought OSU had the better team).

Intuition told me Riley doesn’t perform when the games matter most and/or there are expectations. I just wanted to check the numbers.