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Cal @ Oregon State

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Interesting game in that it could be dubbed the "depression bowl". Overcast/rain forecast, Cal with a lame duck head coach, and the Beavs coming off another kick-in-the-sack, season-crushing loss.

Tedford's inability to recruit a D1 QB since Nate Longshore (2007?) is going to cost him his job. Beavers will put the final nail in that coffin tonight, but it's a Pyrrhic victory in that we Beaver fans like having Tedford at Cal.

Great match up for the Beavs. They're healthier than Cal and have mismatches all over the field. My only concern is that they'll be hung-over from last week and/or possibly looking ahead to the Civil War. Also, who knows which Mannion will show up (24TD/26INT career ratio).

I'm thinking something like 27-10, Beavs.

Oh, that would bring the "win cap" theory into play. I know there are like 10 guys here foaming at the mouth right now. There's a crew that hang out here just to point out when I'm wrong (671 posts and counting, some are going to be wrong!). But yeah, they can have their day in the sun. I probably won't respond to any of those posts since it turns the site into a back and forth shit-storm that clogs the comments, and the readers with a quarter brain know what I was getting at with that theory anyway. However, if the Beavs lose this game, it'll be interesting to see if those mouth breathers show up and acknowledge the cap. Something tells me they won't!

Oregon State vs Alabama (@New York)

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Game thread.

JackBeav has a good writeup: http://orangeexpress.wordpress.com/

Go Beavs.

General Discussion

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It sounds like QB musical chairs will continue for another week. Hearing Mannion will start vs Cal. Hey, maybe we will see Richie Harrington before all is said and done. Does Riley have an eligibility left? Maybe he can Pete Rose us and call his own number.

Those who noted Cal is no longer an easy win are spot on. Should be a win based on match ups, but you gotta think this team is shot. The win cap theory is at stake (given that Nicholls State is back on the schedule. What a championship week game that will be!). I think there's a line piling up to tell me how wrong I am if Riley notches that 9th win vs the mighty Colonels. And for the mathematically challenged, a win cap of 8 means he has to win 9 (some don't seem to grasp that; ala how there are 11 numbers between 0 and 10). 

Hoops appears to be exactly what I thought (same as last year, only a little worse defensively). I'm basing that off the stats and comments I read here, though, as I didn't actually watch the games. Seems Burton is still throwing head-lopping passes. I'd rather have a guy who doesn't make the highlight reel pass, and doesn't make the mistakes that come with those passes.

Like Jimi Hendrix sang, Manic Depression is a frustrating mess. He could have easily substituted "OSU athletics".

New Mexico St @ Oregon State

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Game thread.

Stanford Post-Game

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There is a lot of talk about Vaz vs Mannion in the game thread. I don't know what to make of the situation. I think it was handled entirely wrong (Vaz should have started vs Washington; Mannion should have played vs ASU when he was actually recovered), and now there's a mess. Both guys have pluses and minuses that we all see. Since Mannion has more long-term upside he's the obvious play. The players seem to like Vaz more, though, and he had two nice games. Who knows, but now it's a mess due to the Washington game. I blame Riley, ultimately. It wasn't that hard a situation to manage, and he botched it.

Regarding today's game, I saw the Beavs slowly grab momentum through the 2nd and 3rd quarters. The irony is that they lost momentum on Romaine's third FG. When that ball went through, and Riley gave his shit-eating grin + fist pump, I knew the game was over. Counter-intuitive, I know, but Riley thought he had the game won there. Why wouldn't he? The D was playing great. But players sense when a coach lets up, and they follow the lead. So what happens on the next drive? Stanford marches down the field like they hadn't done for two quarters, the D lets up, guys miss tackles, Stanford scores on a huge play.

On the Beav's side, the play calling turns ugly and one-dimensional/predictable…pass heavy, but conservative passes (having the QB roll left on a 3rd and 2? Horrible call, but they always have horrible calls in key downs). We see OSU do this all the time when games are in the balance. It's like a vice clamps Riley's sack when it matters most. This is what I'd expect from a nice guy, beta coach. It's also why I came up with the win cap idea (not sure how that will turn out…Cal and N-State look like wins, but who knows now). Either way, there is definitely a win cap on clutch games, and it is pretty much zero. Hey, like the election, the majority have spoken, and they'll get what they ask for. Most OSU fans want this guy as coach, so this is what they'll get.

It was nice being emotionally checked out. Didn't care at all, just enjoyed a good game.

One more thing: Refs called a great game. We get on their case over constant F-ups, but that was a nicely called game.

Alamo Bowl is still in play (mathematically, so is the RB), but more likely it's the Holiday Bowl (formerly Sun Bowl). This is a good example of how things revert to the mean. Start slow, end fast; start fast, end slow. Does it matter? In the end, the trend is your friend, and the trend screams mediocrity.