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Basketball: Oregon State @ Colorado

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JackBeav:

Has anyone else noticed that we get the tougher of the two match-ups to start each and every weekend in league play thus far?

It doesn’t get any easier tonight. The Beavs get to face off in Boulder against a pretty good Buffs team. As many of you know, I thought Wake Forest’s stupidity two years ago was CU’s gain. Jeff Bzdelik is a horrible coach. Instead of CU fans griping about another pathetic season under him, they get a coaching star on the rise in Tad Boyle. And he has done wonders with his team in the short time he’s been there.

There will be little fooling the Buffs with the 1-3-1. They tore it to pieces last year in Boulder. And a whole game of it will likely result in the same. It will be effective when mixed with predominantly man and 2-3 sets. The Beavs defense looked a little renewed at the TTATT on Sunday. So it will be interesting to see what our boys can do against a team who takes care of the ball.

The Buffs are led by three seniors, Carlon Brown and Nate Tomlinson at G and Austin Dufault at F. Other than that, they are young with soph F Andre Roberson and frosh G Spencer Dinwiddie filling out the starting five and frosh G Askia Booker being the primary threat off the bench. They have three other bench players who will take about 10 minutes each. But they are not the primary focus.

Brown, Dufault, Roberson and Dinwiddie are the scoring threats along with Booker at the bench energy role. Tomlinson is the facilitator. And every one of them will launch the trey, with Dinwiddie and Roberson being the most likely offenders.

Their weaknesses are three-fold.

Outside of Roberson, the team is only good at rebounding when the guards get involved. But Roberson is a good one on the boards, and their guards will try to get involved. Since they like to run a pressure defense with a transition game, they play into the Beavs hands should they over-commit to the glass.

But they will likely need to over-commit, because they are very undersized. They play bigger than they are, but only one big routinely comes off the bench to spell two already smallish bigs. And their game takes a serious hit when their primary six are not running the court.

And other than Tomlinson and Dinwiddie, they’re susceptible to turnovers. Brown will dish as much as he drops. But they run such a frenetic pace that they make some interesting mistakes when pushed to the edge.

All in all, I think this should be one of the better games in the Pac this year. It should be on TV for pure entertainment value alone. We have two teams who like to take chances on defense and run it out when they can. I want to say the Beavs should win this game by winning the equalizer, the half-court set. But last year’s blow-out is still fresh in my memory.

This is a “prove it to me” game for the Beavs.

Until further notice…

Buffs 84 – Beavs 78

Angry:

I agree with JackBeav on this one–should be a wild game. Would just like to add that the win at Oregon was a step toward winning this type of game. That is, the Beavs finally closed an away game, and they may finally understand what it takes to win road games. They can't just show up, and now they know that. I expect a motivated team that is high energy from the get go. They'll be right in it, but will they play enough defense to win it? That's still the struggle.

From what I gathered, the game will not be televised, but it is available on Colorado's website (for a fee).

Ranking the 2012 Recruiting Class

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My “star” system works like this:

  • I’m using + instead of stars this year because it’s easier than uploading the image.
  • Recruits are listed in order, so if two guys have three + marks, the one higher on my list is the better prospect.
  • I give +’s on my belief the player will be all-conference before graduation. Five +’s means definite all-conference player, four +’s means 80% chance of being all conference, 3-stars = 60% chance, etc. The % would decrease as you go down the list. E.g. The top 3-star has a 60% chance, the next guy a bit less, etc. For example, I think Weinreich has a 60% chance to be all-conference, Josh Mitchell less, at 55%, Gilmore less at 50%, etc.
  • This is just one man’s opinion. I think over time these rankings will be more accurate than Rivals or Scout, but we’ll see.

 

Isaac Seumalo +++++

Gavin Andrews +++++

Caleb Smith ++++

Grant Bays ++++

Chris Brown ++++

Garrett Weinreich +++

Josh Mitchell +++

Malik Gilmore +++

Chase Eldredge +++

Dustin Stanton +++

Brent VanderVeen +++

Kendell Hill +++

Tyler Hasty +++

Stanley Hasiak +++

Zack Robinson +++

Chris Miller +++

Garrett Owens +++

Joel Skotte ++

Cyril Noland ++

Dyllon Mafi ++

Caleb Saulo ++

Rommel Mageo +

Cade Cowdin +

Noke Tago +

Post LOI Thoughts

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Nothing ground breaking here. As anyone can see, a very good offensive class, and a very poor defensive class. The best DT signed is Josh Mitchell, an offensive tackle. That's pretty bad. Mafi looks like the best LB in this group, and he was picked up off the scrap heap today. No Pac-12 caliber DEs signed today. Hasty looks to be an okay CB prospect. I actually like Kendall Hill at safety. Chris Miller? Who knows–can't find any reliable film. Noland? Nice/smart guy and all, but a borderline talent.

Just a really bad defensive effort, and this after a dreadful season, defensively.

There are a lot of delusional fans out there. For example:

Thank You Coaches!
I really appreciate their efforts this year. I can't remember getting so many recruits that also received multiple offers from other top programs. While we lost a few battles, we won many others.

Thank you coaches for your effort? Really? Like the effort in putting a fence around their only solid defensive players? Or the effort in hiring a coach within a 28 day window? Or the effort in game planning last year? Yeah, great effort guys. Bravo!

And this gem:

Rather than lament who ain't with us, I say WELCOME NEW BEAVERS!    
I'm a dad of an athlete…these are always tough decisions.

Your parents clearly raised you right…you chose US!

Welcome to you and may your career and education at Oregon State exceed your wildest expectations.

That's just insane. Whatever helps you wake up in the morning, buddy.

I'm trying to be positive about the class. When I do that, I think, "Okay, great offensive lineman, great set of tight ends, and a nice RB/WR combo." But then reality sets in, and there's no way these defenders stop any D1 team. No playmakers in the group, and a lot of low hanging fruit (or even worse, rotting fruit that fell off the tree all together). Hiring a DB coach probably would have made a lot of sense. When will the Riley apologists run out of excuses?

National Letter of Intent Day

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Thread for the Beavs 2012 class.

Updates throughout the day.

LOI Eve

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As you probably heard, Calvin Tonga (the lone DT) is going to sign with Colorado State.

Cleveland Wallace is still 50-50 between Oregon State and Washington. Some say Washington has the slight lead, now (and just yesterday people called me crazy for insisting they were in the picture).

Shelton is definitely gone.

Beavs add a nice greyshirt kicker in Garrett Owens.

Class semi falling apart over the past few days…class is suddenly looking average instead of very good. More recruiting disappointment from Riley & Co?