12.Feb.2011 Basketball: Oregon State @ UCLA
Today is the Lady Beav's birthday, so I am taking her out to lunch and then wine tasting. I'm not sure I'll be home for the game, but either way, I don't have time to write much about it this morning.
All I'd say is I'm expecting a loss for the same reasons I outlined last week:
1. The Beavers only play well versus Goliath teams where they have no pressure and nothing to lose.
2. The Beavers only play well at home versus such teams where the crowd forces them to focus.
With UCLA on a roll of late, they meet one of two criteria, which means a Beaver loss. This stat from the official site backs me up:
The Beavers are scoring about the same no matter where they play this season, averaging 71.4 points at home and 66.4 points on the road per game. The big difference is the scoring of their opponents, which are averaging 65.9 points at Gill Coliseum and 80.0 points per game on their respective home courts.
How do you explain allowing 15 more points on the road other than a complete lack of focus?
Nelson and Smith are going to have their way inside. Honeycutt will make them pay for playing a zone. I expect a romp, and the Beavers losing streak to UCLA to uptick to 13 straight. The only things certain in life are death, taxes, and the Joe Burton costing the Beavers another game.
TV: FSN (Nationally)