23.Oct.2012 Oregon State @ Washington
I'm finally starting to get a feel for the Beavs. Last week I predicted a 27-13 final and got the margin of victory correct. And this week, I feel more confident than ever in my prediction.
I've actually watched Washington quite a bit. Let me say this: they have a horrible defense. It might be the worst in a major conference, after West Virginia's. I know they're ranked 55th in total defense, and kept USC (overrated) in check, but the three teams (LSU, Arizona, and Oregon) they've played who have good offenses put up an average of 48 points. They are horrible.
Washington's offense loses more turnovers than the defense gains, too, so unlikely that will be a neutralizing force.
Beavs should be able to run, pass, whatever.
The Huskies offense is statistically worse than their defense, but if I'm the Beavs I'd be more worried about that unit. The QB is a good player, and the RB is decent. Luckily the line is horrible. We've beaten to death that Banker needs to stop mobile QBs yada yada. Since Washington's supporting cast is so bad, I think he can stack the box and come out looking good this weekend.
Even the Husky punter is terrible. They average 31.7 yards per punt, which is 115th in the country.
Just a horrible team. I am confident predicting complete domination, the only thing keeping the score down (compared to that 48 point average) being long sustained drives and a lot of rushing yards. This is the week they play a complete game.
PS. Regarding the RB commit from Texas: disagree with the Michael Turner comparison. Turner is a little faster, less shifty, and more of a bulldozer. This guy jukes more. Doesn't have good top end speed, but shifty and seems to produce. Gotta add, I was not impressed with his competition at all. Best attributes are patience and vision–I think these are why he's so productive. I'm neutral on this verbal–since he relies on patience and vision, he'll need a great line, so a lot depends on that.