13.Nov.2013 Oregon State @ Arizona State

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This is just about the worst matchup possible for the Beavs:

  • Taylor Kelly is a legit dual threat QB, producing 31 TDs between ground and air.
  • ASU has the best coverage unit in the Pac-12. Only allowing 15tds while notching 13 INTs. Mannion will be tested for legitimacy again.
  • ASU is averaging 250+ yards on the ground over the last four games.

So, basically anything offensive strength OSU has is mitigated by ASU’s defense, and visa versa.

The Beavs would have to win this game on the ground, controlling the clock, etc, but they aren’t built to do that. So I expect to see ASU run all over the Beavs; the Beavs to play catchup through the air; Mannion to get picked several times as the throws 50+ balls. The desert isn’t going to help, either.

ASU 45, OSU 20

Of course, since OSU is expected to lose, and there’s nothing on the line, Riley may shine in his role as Mr. Meaningless, bringing the Pollys out from under their rock and further confusing the myopic and unobservant fanbase for another decade.

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  • VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
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    A 2-3 TD loss is what I expect.
    As you state, a ground game would help us tremendously this weekend. I thought Ward performed admirably against USC and deserved more carries. (Maybe you guys already hashed that topic out, I’ve missed the last couple game threads).
    We’ll see. I’ll be at this game and plan to get my entertainment from sources other than a Beaver victory.

  • Beavblazer Beavblazer says:
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    I need to sell my UW tickets fast, before their value plummets after the pending ASU blowout

  • BeavItOrNot says:
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    In your predictions up until ASU this season, you’ve picked the Beavs in 7 of 9 games (you’re 4-5 on the season). Importantly, the two times you picked the Beavs to lose, Utah and WSU (both on the road), OSU has won. Here’s to hoping that streak continues.

    And here’s to hoping we get the ASU that had to hold on against Utah and got beat up by Stanford and not the one that dismantled UW and put up 60+ on USC. It’ll be awfully tough to win without a running attack if we face the Dr. Jekyll version of ASU (or is it the Mr. Hyde version, I never know).

    • angry angry says:
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      You are the only person who cares about game predictions. The first 3 seasons I ran the site I was like 80 or 90%, yet I never mentioned it. Because I don’t care. You really need a life, dude.

      • BeavItOrNot says:
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        I really do enjoy you suggesting I need to get a life. Maybe an imaginary life with hot cheerleaders that want to bang me and groupies for my sweet band?

        Dude, you pat yourself on the back constantly. What’s wrong in pointing out your record with predictions? I meant it lightheartedly anyway in the sense that maybe you picking against the Beavs bodes well for them. Calm down.

        If no one cares about your predictions, why make them? If you don’t care about college football or the Beavers, why blog about them? You’re a complex web of intrigue Angry.

    • Jack says:
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      Ok… I’m not going to read the rest of your post because you deserve not be read beyond this.

      Let’s do the math:
      Nine games
      You: You’ve picked the Beavs in 7 of 9 games
      You: You’re 4-5 on the season

      Ummm… ?

      Did I read that wrong?

      • BeavItOrNot says:
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        Yes. Try again.

        Angry has picked the Beavers to win 7 times this year. The Beavers have won four of those seven games. The three other times Angry picked them to win, they lost. The two times Angry picked them to lose, they won. His record in picking games the Beavers are involved in this year is 4-5. He has picked them to win 7 of 9.

        Too complicated?

        • Jack says:
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          I’m just putting you on record.

          Now you have to defend angry for being a Pollyanna.

          Get it?

          • Jack says:
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            And your original post still makes zero sense. If he picked OSU in seven of nine games, and we’re 6-3, then he can’t be 4-5 in any universe.

            Too complicated?

          • Jack says:
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            bite

          • BeavItOrNot says:
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            Wow. He absolutely can be 4-5 if he picked the Beavs to win games they lost and picked them to lose games they won. Want a breakdown?

            EWU: Pick OSU – INCORRECT
            Hawaii: Pick OSU – CORRECT
            Utah: Pick Utah – INCORRECT
            SDSU: Pick OSU – CORRECT
            Colorado: Pick OSU – CORRECT
            WSU: Pick WSU – INCORRECT
            Cal: Pick OSU – CORRECT
            Stanford: Pick OSU – INCORRECT
            USC: Pick OSU – INCORRECT

            Count them if you can. Still too complicated?

            You’re kind of a light snack.

          • Jack says:
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            You bit.

            How was the time you spent in your life being redundant over your petty shit?

          • BeavItOrNot says:
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            So you agree you were wrong? Cause that’s all I hear.

            Dipshit.

          • Jack says:
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            You are so easy to troll. My seven year old doesn’t fall for the garbage your hate-filled mind bites on. But then you always come with a single-minded angle on everything. You can’t see when you’re being played on something as obvious above? Do you really think I can’t do the math? Or are you just jumping at the chance to continue the stupidity?

            Now if you’ll excuse me I’m going to go rag on angry for being a Pollyanna. I just found out he has picked the Beavs seven out of nine games. What froot loop picks their own team that much when their own team is OSU? We’re supposed to be negative Nellies around here.

            Oooh! Oooh! And get this…

            angry was wrong about some of his predictions.

            Will Pollyanna’s like angry ever get it right? Come with me BION. Let’s go laugh at angry for this. It will be fun.

          • VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
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            Wish you could edit or delete your comments now Jack?
            Just this once you screwed the pooch in black and white for everyone to see. It’s ok though, no one really cares and it’s ok to admit an error especially to an adversary. Shows humility!

          • Jack says:
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            There was no error.

            I just wanted to see how far brain fart was going to go with this. Apparently he will go on forever. I believe I stand corrected quite often, but you can probably bet errors on two plus two functions when talking to clearly superior chest pounding geniuses are for trolling purposes.

          • BeavItOrNot says:
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            Boy, you really showed me. I sure do look dumb and you look so smart. I love your moves – the old screw up a math problem and then claim it was on purpose maneuver to make others look foolish! Genius! That must work every time.

            This must be killing you.

          • Jack says:
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            It worked this time. And the mispelling errors get you too.

            Don’t get me wrong. I like you. I would be nasty to you if I didn’t. You’re just fun to troll, and you bite on everything… even after I tell you to do it.

          • OrangeFlush OrangeFlush says:
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            Sorry, Im late to the game since I visit this site once a week for a little comic relief before the Beavs screw the pooch, but I logged in just to say as a neutral observer and a seasoned troll myself (online gaming) the only one that got trolled here was Jack.

            If that kind of owning had happened to me, I would STILL be running conversations in my head and kicking myself for blowing it so bad.

            Thanks for the good laugh B.I.O.N.

          • Jack says:
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            Weak Troll BION.

            You can’t be pwned so decidedly then edit a week later.

            Sorry.

            bite

          • BeavItOrNot says:
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            I’m not sure what you’re suggesting. I don’t care if Angry picks the Beavers to win or lose. To the extent my comment went beyond lightheartedly pointing out that when Angry picks the Beavs to lose, they win, and maybe that bodes well for Saturday, it served to maybe (not likely) remind you Angryannas that Angry is not a messiah and does not have his finger on the pulse of this team to nearly the extent some seem to believe.

            I think it’s hilarious you think I am a Pollyanna (at least I think you think that; clarity is not your strong suit obviously). That phrase is transparently used around here to marginalize the more reasonable among us.

          • BeavItOrNot says:
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            Bite.

          • angry angry says:
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            You associate having a finger on the pulse tantamount to predicting the future?

            Predictions are impossible but also biased. Here is a perfect example: I thought Stanford would win., yet I predicted the Beavs. Why? Because I got suckered into the momentum. This is the same reason people bought Apple stock near 800 and houses in 2007 despite knowing those are terrible buys there. Emotions = bias.

            You’re also cherry picking 9 games rather than the 4 years prior and presenting it as a body of work. So, that is the emotional bias (i.e. you dislike me) on your part.

          • BeavItOrNot says:
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            “Finger on the pulse” was a nicer way of saying “knows what the fuck he’s talking about.”

            Agreed that predicting the outcomes of games is only a very small piece of knowing what you’re talking about. As far as thinking Stanford was going to win but picking the Beavs – you can’t have it both ways. I hear you on the cherry picking thing, but I am talking about the 2013 team so your 2013 record is obviously most pertinent.

            That all being said, I’ve only mentioned the record a couple of times. I agree it is not the chief barometer of knowing what you’re talking about. But it is relevant and you have been bad at it THIS YEAR. And I hope your lack of success continues this week if only so that we can get that surprise win which of course will prove that everything is okay with the Beavs (that’s the theory, right?).

            I bought Apple at 300 (although maybe fittingly did not sell when it hit 700).

          • angry angry says:
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            Haters gonna hate.

          • Jack says:
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            Wow… you bit a lot.

            You just wasted a bunch of your time being stupid about something ancillary to any argument you’ve seen here. And you were the one who started it all.

            You are awesome!

            Sorry… bite me.

          • BeavItOrNot says:
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            Like I said, light snack.

            Glad to learn I’m renting space in your head.

          • Jack says:
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            Heh heh… well, I guess you said it first.

            You win.

          • Jack says:
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            You can’t be a Pollyanna. You’re constantly negative, and you’re the smartest person in any room. Someone as highly intelligent as you could only see the Oregon State football Beavers for what they objectively are.

  • Issaquahbeav says:
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    Fork rolls…56-24…for reasons Angry points out. Hoping Beavs go to Vegas Bowl. Craps tables are calling my name.

  • bendbeaver bendbeaver says:
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    What’s wrong with the desert? Too dry for a Beaver?

  • Whiskey soaked napkins says:
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    I predicted that exact same score in a thread a few weeks back. ASSU rolls 45-20

  • Beavblazer Beavblazer says:
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    I’ve never been able to edit my comments. Is this a new feature you’re trying to add? (nevermind, I was just able to edit this comment, thanks for adding this. it would have come in handy several times in the past)

    • angry angry says:
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      No, it’s an old feature. You have to be a registered user. Just register: http://angrybeavs.com/wp-login.php?action=register

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        No, the edit link isn’t appearing Angry.

      • Numbers says:
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        I never wanted to register, somehow I thought not registering allowed me privacy and freedom to speak how I really feel without fear of persecution. But I guess all those thoughts might have been thought crime, and the NSA is going to send me to the ministry of love just the same

        • angry angry says:
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          Then don’t register. It’s not mandatory; it just has those advantages of editing/deleting.

          I don’t use the info for anything and have no interest in that. For those who use adblock etc you’ll see there isn’t a single cookie or tracking device on the site. This might be the last website that can claim that!

  • seaverbeaver says:
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    52-17 ASU

  • carltogr carltogr says:
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    It’ll be 38-16 (OSU with three field goals) with 5 minutes left in the game, and thats when Mannion will pour it on against ASU’s backups — getting two TDs to make it 38-30. It won’t be enough to make up for his 3 ints. 🙁

    ASU 38-30.

    • carltogr carltogr says:
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      ….Riley gets pat on the back for “keeping it close and making OSU proud on the road”.

  • Bill says:
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    I don’t see a blowout happening since everyone is counting out the Beavs. The odds are heavily in ASU’s favor but Utah gave a good blueprint for what the Beavs can do to slow down ASU.

    It’s a lot of ifs and if all of them don’t go the Beav’s way, it’s going to be a long night.

    1. Pressure Kelly early. He was out of sync for much of the Utah game. Force him to roll to the sidelines. Not a great passer on the run.
    2. Load up on the running game and force Kelly to pass. The games ASU has lost is because opponents shut down their running game. Kelly is more like Hogan, he has a few designed runs. but isn’t a burner.
    3. Score early. The offense has to come through. Must get creative. The last two games, it seemed like stanford and usc could predict each play call.

    The only way I see the Beav’s taking this game is in a shootout. Quite a turnaround from last year’s game. No prediction here. I don’t like making predictions when I think they will not win.

    • Beavblazer Beavblazer says:
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      I read somewhere (on a previous thread maybe?) that Banker has watched game film of the Utah game 3 times. He’s ready.

  • ean says:
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    I don’t think a strong secondary hurts the Beavers that bad. Mannion has shown a great ability to make the read and the throw when given protection. He plays like crap under pressure. I want to know how the ASU pass rush is. I’d take Cooks to win over any CB with Mannion given time to throw. Good receivers always beat good CB’s.

  • Jack says:
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    Since my first week prediction was so so bad, I’m going to go all prediction superstition crazy and say the Beavs run for 135 yards (including five sacks for -34 yards and three fly sweeps for 28 yards) on 15 carries, 340 yards passing with two TDs for Mannion, no turnovers and we lose 52-24.

  • Jack says:
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    When did you install ABC spell check?

    • angry angry says:
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      Probably a year and a half ago.
      I’m not sure why some users are logged in yet don’t see the spell check or edit/delete features. It’s probably an OS or browser issue. Are you guys who aren’t seeing it on Mac or Linux machines?

      • Jack says:
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        I’ve been exclusively Windows on this site, and a couple minutes ago is the first time I’ve seen it.

        • Beavblazer Beavblazer says:
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          ditto

        • Jack says:
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          I did see extras like script options and emoticons some time back. But those disappeared within a couple days. I figured you just lost them because they gummed up the works.

  • Calibeav says:
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    Won’t be shocked if Riley pulls out a win.. Will be shocked if anyone cares.

    31-13 Satans

  • bendbeaver bendbeaver says:
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    No one has made the common reference to Riley’s teams playing well after a bye week yet, so I will.

  • VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
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    I’m really loving the theme/design of your weblog.
    Do you ever run into any browser compatibility problems?
    A couple of my blog readers have complained about
    my blog not operating correctly in Explorer but looks great in Safari.
    Do you have any advice to help fix this problem?

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