Arizona State has the edge in every measurable (positive) statistic. They’re throwing three sub 3.20 ERA guys at the Beavers with each approaching double-digit wins. Their hitters look the part. They play in a hot, dry stadium where balls fly out. This is frightening.
For me, the story this weekend is whether Oregon State does enough to maintain bubble consideration. Since Arizona State leads the country in RPI, I think one win and the Beav’s case remains strong (assuming they win out the rest of the way). Playing well down the stretch is important. Ever notice how musicians close concerts with their best song? It is not coincidence. Ending a performance with your best leaves a psychological mark on the listener or viewer. I’ve had it happen to me. Sat through a Yo La Tengo show that was boring as hell until they closed with a magical performance of “Blue Line Swinger”, and today I look back on the concert with fondness.
Ah, sorry. Wrong subject. Back to baseball…
Bottom line: win one game in this series. Then win out. If these two things happen the Beavers make the post-season.
What I think will happen: I think the Beavers get swept by Arizona State, and in ugly fashion. I’m thinking 6, 7, 8 run defeats. It’ll have little effect on their psyche, because I think deep down they aren’t expecting to compete in this series. So maybe they’ll be able to shrug it off, come back strong, and win out. Let’s see how the weekend goes and reevaluate on Monday. Been so dead on with this team all year; it’s like, come on and surprise me for once, Beavs.