31.Mar.2011 Baseball: Oregon State @ Arizona

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Probable starters for the weekend have not been released, but my hunch is the matchups will look like this:

Date Opponent Pitchers Time (PT)
04/01 Arizona Sam Gaviglio (5-0, 0.39) vs  Kurt Heyer (4-0, 1.33) 6:00 p.m.
04/02 Arizona Josh Osich (3-0, 2.74) vs Kyle Simon (5-1, 2.25) 1:00 p.m.
04/03 Arizona Ben Wetzler (3-1, 4.08) vs Tyler Hale (3-1, 2.70) 12:00 p.m.

Oregon State and Arizona have one common opponent (LBSU), and both squads took two of three. Arizona won in more convincing fashion outscoring the Dirtbags 18-3 (versus the Beavs more modest 15-7). Those numbers may seem meaningless since "a win is a win", but actually I think they provide good insight.

Arizona's wins have been slightly more routine, and they have beaten Rice and Arizona State. Right now, especially at home, you have to give them the edge in this series. That's a given. But my fear is that the Beavs will be swept. I'll tell you why: too much lies on Sam Gaviglio winning game 1.

If that doesn't happen, they will have to rely on Osich or Wetzler (or Nygren, *gasp*) to salvage a game. Do you have confidence in that happening? Maybe versus Hartford…I just don't see it happening versus good teams. Osich and Wetzler/Nygren are throwers who dig themselves into trouble. If the Beavs score in the 1st, they'll give back two in the 2nd. These guys just have that feel to them. Of the group, Wetzler has the most promise, but he's too green to win a meaningful game on the road.

So, my prediction is this: if Sam wins game 1, the Beavs take 1 of 2. If Sam loses game 1, the Beavs will get swept.

As far as whether Gaviglio will win the opening contest…God…tough call. I see a really tight game. The difference might be the amount of pressure on Sam to win that game…he could crack. The Wildcats have better mashers, too, in Joey Rickard (.481, 1, 18) and Cole Frenzel (.411, 1, 27) and have 41 steals as a team. Andrew Susac has been a mess behind the dish with 5 passed balls. In a close game, the combination of Arizona speed with a bad Oregon State battery could matter. Oh, and I forgot to mention: one of our best mashers, Jake Rodriguez, will likely miss the series with a fractured wrist.

Brace yourselves for the worst.

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  • angry angry says:
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    Oh, and I haven’t seen anything written about Poyer, but I assume he is off the baseball team since he practiced with the football team on Wednesday…?

    • JackBeav says:
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      I think I read somewhere a while back that he would be practicing with the football team on Mondays and Wednesdays, but not Fridays… and not the Spring Game.

      • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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        Cliff blogs that Poyer decided to go 100% football. gazettetimes.com/sports/beavers-sports/article_04a6219a-5bb6-11e0-9628-001cc4c03286.html

        Good quote “I felt I (had to be grinding with these guys) and earn my starting spot”
        Sounds good.

    • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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      The stream for today?

      • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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        Yes that’s the stream for the entire series vs Arizona.

        • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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          Thanks, I thought only the home games were going to be streamed… You just made my weekend! πŸ™‚

  • angry angry says:
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    The starting pitchers have been updated. Wetzler/Nygren is still up in the air for Sunday.

  • Alex says:
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    Michael Phillip and Josh Andrews relegated to the 2s….Aaron Magnuson and some other walk-on promoted to take their spots. Couch Cav said something about the nasty streak not being there, and he’s unlikely to change his mind. 5 walkons.

    …..

    http://cliffkirkpatrick.mvourtown.com/2011/04/01/new-oline-shuffle/

  • CraigBeav says:
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    Glad we got a stream. Why the fuck don’t the universities collaborate and give us the full season… they all use the same CBS system. I’m certainly not going to buy the package for each of our away teams as well. Also, the audio feeds on osubeavers.com have a horrible hissing sound in the background…

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Looks like our suspicions about Gavillio were correct. He looked great VS inferior opponents. He is average in the PAC.

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    Pretty good announcer, good comment on Dunn’s smart move to try to pick the runner at third.

  • angry angry says:
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    To make matters worse, Oregon is beating Arizona State 2-0.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    15-0? Wow. Whelp I’m not going to invest any more time or money on this ball club. I still have an ulcer from football season.

  • GreatWhiteHunter says:
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    Did I hear that right…15-0? WTF?!

  • GreatWhiteHunter says:
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    motherfucking beavers.

  • GreatWhiteHunter says:
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    Do we have ping-pong team to follow?

    • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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      The Softball team is decent this year. Winning their Pac opener 2-0 right now. Softball players are fucking hot fwiw. Not as hot as soccer girls though.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    17-0

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    18-0

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    6th pitcher

  • CraigBeav says:
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    Is this Pat Casey’s fucking april fools day?

    • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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      idk but knowing Casey, the guys are going to get fucking destroyed in the locker room after this. They deserve it. Terrible pitching, terrible defense and horrible batting.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    12 run 6th inning. Ends on a K by someone. Goodnight everyone.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Gorton batting .139? 4 for 31? ARE YOU FUCKING KIDDING ME?

    • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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      I am 26 years old and 20 pounds overweight and I could have a better batting average.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Alright I’m done raging now. Goodnight.

  • gotmolk says:
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    Top of the ninth, rally hats anyone?

  • angry angry says:
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    Josh Osich pitches scared.

    Oh, and Beavs down 2-0 with Arizona looking for more. The sweep prediction is looking good right now.

  • angry angry says:
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    3-0 Arizona.
    Dunn fails to get a bunt down with runners at 1st and 2nd…Miller hits a routine fly ball to right…

    • angry angry says:
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      Ryan Barnes picks his teammates up by hitting a 3-run .
      The game is 3-3.

  • angry angry says:
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    Oh God, who is the cow screaming “Two out rally” on this feed? Sounds like Mama Machado.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Beavers go up 6-3 on a Ryan Dunn three run home run. That ball barely got over but it did. What a difference a day makes.

  • angry angry says:
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    Ryan Dunn hits a 3-run HR.

    Beavs lead 6-3.

    Let’s see if Osich gives it back up.

    • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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      Doubt it. Osich will take care of business.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Big inning by Osich. Team needed him to throw a shutout inning and give them more confidence. Offense needs to add a couple runs, have Osich pitch into the 8th and have Boyd shut the door.

  • angry angry says:
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    Big error by Dunn at SS…leadoff man at 2nd with nobody out.

    • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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      Didn’t hurt due to a really bad baserunning decision by Zona. Beavers need to be more sound defensively. Way too many mistakes.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    I will give Dunn the benefit of the doubt there. That play was really tough.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    The Beavers always have to make things interesting.

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    Never easy.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Big two run single by Andrew Susac. Gives the Beavers more breathing room for the bottom half of the ninth. Hopefully they can add a couple more.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Brian Stamps almost hits a home run and hits a two run double to give the Beavers a 10-4 lead. That’s what I like to see.

  • angry angry says:
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    10-4 Beavs. Looks like the rubber game tomorrow will decide the series.

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    Gotta love that desert air, hoping for a cold front now though!

  • angry angry says:
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    Beavs win. A (surprising) 10-4 victory.
    Rubber game tomorrow at high noon.

  • OS_Beaver says:
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    Good “W”! Need to fight for the series tomorrow..Go Beavs!!

  • mckalk mckalk says:
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    Good comeback against a good team. Now, time to focus on Butler/VCU. Damn, I wish BDC could have gotten Shaka Smart a couple of years ago.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Sounds like we played some good D. It was also nice of our bats to show up today.

  • osbeavs says:
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    Can I get a Dodger and Beaver win on the same day? Is that too much to ask?

    • BeaverBeliever says:
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      Got it! Is there a chance the Beavers and Dodgers could both be good in the same year? Too early too tell, but a great weekend for both!

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    The Dodgers still have a team?

    • osbeavs says:
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      Yes sir, we are 2-1 right now against the defending champs. We likely won’t have much of a team left when the McCourts are done with them though. The future of this legal battle appears grim, likely leading to the sale of the team (after all of the stars have been pieced out to other teams through trades for cash).

      • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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        The Mariners are 2-0, first place!!!! First place probably won’t last passed today but still they were in first place for two days! lol

        • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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          If they win tonight, they will already have more wins then last season!

          • osbeavs says:
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            Who is your team Afghan, you love to rag on teams that are down on their luck…

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Michael Miller with a lead-off double and moves to third on a Ryan Barnes groundout to first. Hayes with an RBI groundout to first to score Miller. The ball from Miller hit the warning track. I thought he might actually hit a home run. Didn’t think he could actually even get it to the warning track.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Susac with a single and Norris walks now. Would be nice to give Wetzler a 2 or 3 run lead before he throws a pitch.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Berberet smokes a ball and UA’s left fielder makes a diving catch. It’s been that way for Parker the last couple weeks. Still a good inning. They scored a run and executed the fundamentals flawlessly. When they play fundamentally sound, they’re pretty good.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Wetzler continues to struggle. His struggles have nothing to do with talent, he just always falls behind in the count and has to throw a fastball over the plate for a strike and gets hammered. He needs to learn to get ahead in the count so guys can’t look dead red for a fastball.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Nice. Oregon State has runners on first and second with no outs. Need to get a couple runs here.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Arizona’s pitcher was having a tough time throwing strikes to Dunn and on a 3-1 count Pat Casey has him bunt and gives away an out? Makes zero sense.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Clutch base hit by Barnes and we are up 3-1

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Barnes bails out Michael Miller and Pat Casey with a two run single. 3-1 Beavers.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Big double by Hayes and we are up 4-1 Barnes scores from first.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Danny Hayes with an RBI double. 4-1 Beavers.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Susac blasts a two bagger, 5-1 OSU

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Susac crushes a ball into the gap, scores Hayes. 5-1 Beavers. Offense showing a great deal of depth now.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Shallow base hit scores Susac. This is a huge inning.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Norris with a bleeding single into shallow left field and scores Susac.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    6-1 Beavers going to the bottom of the second inning. Wetzler better not blow this lead!

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Good job by Wetzler to preserve the 6-1 lead. He got ahead of the last two batters in the inning and they grounded out weakly. That is what happens when he gets ahead of guys. If he can consistently get ahead of hitters, he’s going to become a beast on the mound.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Wild pitch gives Beavers 7-1 lead after 2 1/2 innings.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Beavers are swinging the bats really well now. Even on a lot of their outs the ball is smoked.

  • CraigBeav says:
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    Looks like Friday was enough of an embarrassment to light a fire under their asses… hope this continues.

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    Couple quick outs help the pitch count for Ben.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    I wasnlt watching, was it a balk?

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    10 pitches that time for Wetzler, nice to keep out of the sun as much as possible. Good team play on the fly to center where infielders were called off.

  • OS_Beaver says:
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    Streaming a series makes for an enjoyable weekend. Especially when you win them! These early series are so imprtant for setting the tone of the rest of your PAC-10 season. Glad they fought back! Keep it up BEAVERS!

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Really impressed with the Beavers the last two days. Playing like the squad I thought they were heading into conference.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Beavers load the bases with no outs and don’t score. That was a situation where they get too patient. Got to swing the bats and don’t leave it up to the umpire.

  • OS_Beaver says:
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    I kinda think they should have bunted in a for sure run. Doesn’t matter if we win with 12 runs or 8. You have to jjust keep maximizing the % chance that you will winn. Now with them homering it is even more true. They may have been able to bunt in 2 runs last inning with the bases loaded and no outs. I just don’t get why managers really play small ball or they let the bast fly. It seems to be like you can choose to start playing small ball any time it makes sense to assure a victory and series win. Not nervous yet, but each run makes you that much more confident and would just have about guaranteed a win.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    That’s what happens when Wetzler gets behind in the count. He grooves a fastball and it gets crushed because he gets behind in the count. When he works ahead he doesn’t have much trouble, as 2nd through 5th showed. He needs to be consistent.

  • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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    Boyd is in. Game over.

    • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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      You think he is going to blow it? Or was that not sarcasm?

      • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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        I meant he’s going to shut down Arizona.

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    I think Boyd was the right move, not at all sure it was smart to pull Kavin though.

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    Chemistry bad between Susac and Ump, time to relieve Andrew.

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    Nice call third strike, maybe Ump feels guilty?

  • angry angry says:
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    I like this Arizona announcer…good voice. Nothing like drifting into a snooze on a Sunday afternoon whilst listening to a ball game.

    • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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      I found it funny how he kept calling Ben Wetzler “wentzel’ and “wetzel”

      • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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        Yea, called Parker “Peter” in first game.

        • angry angry says:
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          Lol. I noticed that, but he restrains his homerism decently, and his voice soothed me to sleep. He’s pretty good for a college guy…think of the FSN telecasters…

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    One down, man on third, got to get one out of this.

    • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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      Well we got one. Then got hosed on accidental catch by their first basemen.

  • angry angry says:
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    Nice, ASU sweeps Oregon.

    • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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      I like a Ducks loss as much as a Beaver win. Does that say something about me?

      • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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        I stopped caring about the Ducks baseball program. They just aren’t good at all.

        • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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          Didn’t they start the season ranked like 14th? I know they are bad, but how does that happen? They were not good last year either.

      • angry angry says:
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        I disagree, the Ducks have good pitching, and they’re feisty–hung tough the first two games with ASU. I don’t think they’re great, but they’re not bad. They’ll be middle of the pac.

        • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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          Oregon is bad Angry. 5 straight losses and they haven’t been all that close. No offense at all. They will be something like 8-19 in conference play. To even be middle of the pack in the Pac-10 you have to be good, they aren’t. Oregon won’t sniff the postseason.

  • Mike says:
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    i’m just checking in now, haven’t found the broadcast – score & inning update?

  • oneoldbeav oneoldbeav says:
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    Bottom 9, 8-3 Beavs

    • Mike says:
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      thank you

    • angry angry says:
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      He should have added, Arizona has the bases loaded with nobody out in the 9th. Boyd out, Bryant in…

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    Bottom 9. 8-3 Beavs 0 outs Runners on 1st and 2nd.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    You can bring in a new pitcher in the middle of an at bat? I thought you could only replace before the at bat starts.

    • angry angry says:
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      No, you can make that switch. You can also switch batters in the middle of an AB…if you switch with two strikes on the batter and the new guy strikes out, it’s credited to the old batter, but if he gets a hit he gets credit. You can also switch from batty left/right (if you’re a switch hitter) before two strikes.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    1 out, runners 1st and 3rd, 8-4 Beavs.

  • angry angry says:
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    I like Bryant’s change up…really devastating pitch.

    Beavs win.

  • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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    A bunt with 2 outs? Maybe if your Lamike fast, but he got thrown out not even halfway down the base path.

    • Afghanbeav Afghanbeav says:
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      ***EDIT*** if you’re as fast as Lamike ***EDIT***

  • OS_Beaver says:
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    Great series win Beavs! We need to be in the College World Series this year. One more step taken. Good job!

  • angry angry says:
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    I am shocked by Saturday and Sunday’s results. Beavs really showed me something, as I felt pretty strongly they’d get swept if Sam lost game 1. Never saw them winning 2 of 3 in any scenario…impressive stuff.

    • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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      That embarrassing performance on Friday night seemed to wake the team up and get them focused. Last two days they held Arizona to 4 runs which is half of what they have scored on average. Team showing some mental toughness. Next week’s series should be a good one with ASU. I think they can win 2 of 3 but it will be tough one. At least the Saturday game is on tv.

  • mckalk mckalk says:
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    I would like to see the Beavs dispatch the Pilots and then get ready to battle ASU. Ducks got swept very effeciently by the Sun Devils. Can the Beavers at least get one game?

    • sparkyd73 says:
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      They really need to win that series at home against ASU. Taking 2 of 3 would be a great weekend and set them up for a great PAC 10 season. I feel Gaviglio will get back on track this weekend.

      These 2 in Arizona were a great start as well. This was a good Pac 10 team and to come to them and take two, especially after Sam’s debacle on Friday says something about the team’s mental make-up. Nice job Beavs.

  • angry angry says:
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    Beavs moved up 4 spots to #19 in Baseball America….
    http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/college/top-25/2011/2611510.html

  • tim says:
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    Gaviglio loses – badly – in Game 1 and the Beavs win the series. I admit that I’m surprised by that result, but I think OSU has a better team than anyone, fans included, are giving them credit for. The biggest concern might be that there isn’t a lot of postseason experience, should that become a factor. Already at 20 wins by first weekend in April. I’m cautiously optimistic…but would like to see a little more consistency from the offense. What happened to the defense Friday night? Was it April Fool’s Day?

    • JackBeav says:
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      Gaviglio was due for a game in which he got touched up a bit. Combine that with his style of getting the defense involved with fielding grounders and a rock hard infield, and we can probably guess that the team just wasn’t prepared for the conditions in game one.

      They adjusted nicely for the weekend games. They still had a couple mistakes, but they followed those with sound plays which marginalized the mistakes. Osich and Wetzler played more aggressively when they took the mound as well. They ran into problems when they fell behind, but that wasn’t as much as their good pitch placement and solid throwing. And our bats came alive as well. Even our outs were exciting hits that a lesser team than Zona would have watched through the gaps.

      I don’t know yet if it was a coming of age weekend for Osich and Wetzler since it seems they each alternate quality and poor starts. But it was really nice to have them both step up against a good team. Hopefully they’ve gained enough confidence to carry them through the remainder of the season.

  • CraigBeav says:
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    Any chance we can get a stream for the Portland game?

  • angry angry says:
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    Susac broke a bone in his left hand…

    • BeaverBeliever20 says:
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      It’s tough but he should be back with a week or two. Just needs a couple weeks to rest it and then he’ll have to play through the pain he’s having. Beavers won’t miss him too much though. Parker Berberet is a better defensive catcher and is the team’s leader in RBI’s and has gotten his stroke back on track. A few weeks back the losses of Jake Rodriguez and Andrew Susac would be big, but with the improvements of Ryan Dunn and Kavin Keyes and Parker getting back on track, the losses aren’t that big.

      By the Washington State series in two weeks Susac and Rodriguez should be back.

      I still fully expect the Beavers to win the series with ASU and to really get it rolling.

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