Sure we are. We’re angrybeavs, and we go where no Beaver website is bold enough to go.
Here’s the Schedule
Minnesota: L
Idaho: W
Boise: L
Colorado: L
Cal: W
Utah: L
Washington: 50/50, I’ll go L
Washington State: L
Stanford: L
UCLA: L
Arizona: W
Oregon: L
Subject to change: let’s do this again after Fall camp and see how we feel.
Minnesota: 50/50 – L
Idaho: W
Boise: W
Colorado: W
Cal: W
Utah: W
Washington: L
Washington State: L
Stanford: L
UCLA: L
Arizona: L
Oregon: W
To me this feels like the schedule sets up for a strong start begore the wheels fall off. Then we redeem ourselves with the elusive Civil War win with Seth the Great throwing himself into the end zone on a late game winning drive.
If our fans actually show up, we could get a boost from the home field. 7 home games plus Civil War at home makes for a nice schedule. The bye week is way too early though. If Beavs start 5-1, they’ll be ranked briefly but it won’t last.
That would be great for recruiting though.
That’s wildly optimistic.
Wait, 5-6 is reasonable, but 6-6 is wildly optimistic?
The Civil War is likely a W, but I’ll keep it as a W against my better judgement.
Well notably the win vs Oregon. I don’t see how they beat Utah, either.
If Garrettson has a great Fall camp I can get on board with Utah. No way they win the Civil War, though.
Angry, we almost won the Civil War in Autzen last year after a dumpster-fire season, and with only half their roster making the trip. How is there no chance this year?
Oregon looks more vulnerable now than they have in this millennium. This staff is hungry for a CW win (started Oregon prep 3-4 weeks out last year), and they have to be wanting to strike while the iron is hot. Think we have a clear coaching advantage.
Assuming we can at least play P12 opponents tough next year, win or lose, I think we have a decent shot at CW win.
Horseshoes and hand grenades.
I’ll gladly take any bet someone wants to place on the CW.
I don’t see Utah being as strong this year with turnover at both QB and RB. They’ll miss Davonte Booker quite a bit.
I’m more worried about Arizona vs our defense.
Angry has history on his side. A CW win in Andersen’s second year just feels unlikely, a little too Cinderella-like. But to be honest, since it’s at home this year and you know Andersen will have them pumped up for it, I would not be surprised with a W.
“Almost won the CW” seems like a generous assessment based on several non-competitive games in the series. “Competed” is better, but Duck D was atrocious.
My quick preseason predictions:
at Minnesota – L
vs Idaho State- W
vs Boise State- L
at Colorado- L
vs California- W
vs Utah- W
at Washington- L
vs Washington State- L
at Stanford- L
at UCLA- L
vs Arizona- W
vs Oregon- L
4-8 feels about right, while remaining competitive in games that would have been blowouts last year. Need to be at least 3-3 at the midway point though, as the back half of the schedule is significantly more difficult. I’m picking Washington to win the Pac-12 this year.
This prediction is about right to me….not getting my hopes up for more than four wins.
Let’s make this a contest. Kudos for a year to the winner with the closest prediction.
Five wins.
Over Minnesota, Idaho, Colorado, Cal and ducks.
We should do a contest, but after fall camp. a lot can change between now and then.
What constitutes a years supply of kudos? I go through them like shit through a goose.
Thus looks pretty good, maybe a win over BSU instead of Minnesota.
Unless Hoke turns around the Duck D, I could see a CW win assuming Beavers are healthy.
at Minnesota – W
vs Idaho State- W
vs Boise State- W
at Colorado- L
vs California- W
vs Utah- L
at Washington- L
vs Washington State- W
at Stanford- L
at UCLA- L
vs Arizona – L
vs Oregon- W
Since we can re-evaluate after Fall Camp, I’m looking for these 6 wins: Idaho, Boise, Cal, WSU, Arizona, and the lemon and green…oops, our multi-colored prima donna’s to the south.
Anybody that thinks this team is going to win more than 2 games has to be on crack.
Speaking of multi-colored prima donna’s!
this team could be TWICE as good as last year’s and only win three games; such was the gap in talent and performance we saw last year. That’s the worst case. Here’s my take for a best case scenario:
@ Minnesota–W
Idaho State–W
Boise State-W
@Colo–W
Cal–W
Utah-W
@UW-L
WSU-W
@Stanford–L
@UCLA–L
Zona-W
Oregon–W
9-3, matching Riley’s best.
All hinges on Health of Garretson. If he goes down, add 3 losses:
Minnesota: W
Idaho: W
Boise: W
Colorado: W
Cal: L
Utah: W
Washington: L
Washington State: L
Stanford: L
UCLA: L
Arizona: L
Oregon: W
I’m on board with the Civil War win. I think this is the year we break the cycle. 6-6 ending with an exclamation point.
I’m going with a W in the Civil War.
Wish I could be at the CW game, but the only one I can make is Homecoming…see you there!
5-7
Angry’s math is on point
Here’s what I think:
Minnesota: W
Idaho: W
Boise: W
Colorado: W
Cal: W
Utah: L
Washington: L
Washington State: L
Stanford: L
UCLA: L
Arizona: L
Oregon: W
6-6, nice show of improvement, and the Beavs get to their first bowl game since 2013.
7-5 and i’m not high … Bowling baby !
@Minnesota: L Team is distracted by the fried food smells whaffing in from the State Fair.
Idaho: W Riley would find a way to lose. “Finding our identity.”
BSU: L Those a-holes always seem to beat us.
CU: W Have to break the streak sometime.
Cal: 50/50, but go with a loss.
Utah: L Established coach and program.
UW: L Too much of a talent gap.
WSU: W Cougs coug it even though they should win.
Stanford: L. Ugly loss.
UCLA: L See UW
Zona: L.
Quacks: W Just have a feeling we finally win. Frost is gone and a new DC as well.
Team is much better, but win total does not reflect the progress..4-8
So many QB questions in the Pac 12 this year.
Beavs obviously.
We all saw how hole looked last year without VA.
Cal was mediocre with the #1 draft pick at QB.
Utah was underwhelming with Booker out and that gangly mullet head kid that was there for 9 years at QB.
Is Stanford breaking in a new QB?
Stanford breaking in a new QB?……Yup, and (per Danny) they also lost “a couple key receiving targets and some big pieces off (the) offensive line”
But still, there is that “established coach and program” thing; along with Christian McCaffrey!
Cal got a 5th year grad transfer from t tech who threw for like 5,500 yards and 40 td’s
Stanford has Keller chryst who I think was the #1 Qb recruit in the country a couple years ago, and who most fans wanted to supplant Hogan.
I think Utah takes a step back this year.
Everyone knows Vegas put the Beavs at 3.5 wins for the season right…
If Vegas is so smart, how do they explain winning half of a game?
Vegas also had the Blazers at 27 total wins last year, and they ended up with 44. Based on that math, the Beavs are really at 5.7 wins this year. Also, tells me Alabama should win over 16 games this year.
Good point! Although thr NBA was much weaker then Vegas predicted last year. Go Beavs. I think we will win 4 games this season.
Predicted two wins last year amid unreasonable expectation from the “members” on this site. Predict two wins again. Have Idaho State and Colorado as wins. Would be pleasantly surprised if we compete in the conference slate. I know I’m in the minority in here on thinking a Utah State backup QB can win games in the Pac 12. I think high water mark is 4 and 1 win is very possible. Hope it doesn’t kill recruiting I guess.
I Jane the Beavs winning the first 5 games. Starting 5-0 and being ranked. Then losing the next 5 games. Finishing by winning the last two games. 7-5 and going to low tier bowl.
I thought it was “I Tarzan, you Jane”.
He identifies as a woman today.
They’ll be better with Garrettson at QB. Very few Pac teams return a QB with experience. As long as Garrettson stays upright and healthy is key. I think this defense will be better under Clune than Sitake. With that said, here’s my shit shot……………
@Minnesota: I think the trip to the big house last year pays dividends for this opener. I don’t expect a blowout. Could go either way but L
Idaho: W
BSU: Much like the Beavs, these guys are pissed from last season. CP is in Seattle now but Bryan Harsin is no slouch either. Close game but I’ll take the beavs at home, W
CU: Is Sefo Lafiu or whatever the fuck his name is healthy? The altitude will make a difference. L
Cal: Breaking in a new QB and many other positions. Cal takes a step back this year. W
Utah: At home, GA wants this one. Close game, W
UW: Loss
WSU: Loss
Stanford: Lost a lot to graduation but David Shaw has this train rolling much to angry’s chagrin and prediction. They also have the best player in college football that was robbed of a Heisman trophy last year. Loss
UCLA: L
Zona: L.
Quacks: Tough to get a feel on this one right now. Ducks will have a new QB, defensive coordinator, offensive coordinator……………….sound familiar? Ducks have more talent but we’ve been told anything can happen. It is the civil war. I’m saying L for now but I am on the fence.
The main thing I am looking for is competitiveness. Fight, show improvement, don’t get blown out so bad the game is over at halftime. Remember folks, this is a complete overhaul from the ground up. It’s going to take time. Give GA 4-5 years. I don’t expect a bowl game this year. 2017 they should be bowling if this program is making progress.
One last prediction…..The crapple cup decides who wins the North
Fun facts CU stadium elevation is 5440 ft, not the highest though. that goes to Wyoming, War Memorial Stadium at 7215 ft. You would think in that thin air they would win more games..?
CU’s is highest, but Laramie beats it in elavation.
I see what you did there.
Interesting reading the guesses after I had placed my own. Looks like the trend is to be oppstimstic in the first half while nearly everyone has the Beavs on a hefty losing streak second half of the season. Why is this? Because the team is thin and won’t last? Because P12? Because we want to Beaver Believe but are eventually forced into reality?
I don’t know why either, but I am definitely predicting a surprisingly strong start followed by a devastating drop.
Thin and our schedule is about as back loaded as you can get.
Same ^^^^^^
But in the interest of variety, we’re going to go on the road with the Ducks to see what they are really made of. Week 1 against UC Davis won’t tell us much and the Week 2 visit from a Virginia team that won four games last season probably won’t tell us much more.
And while Nebraska is still struggling to find itself in the Mike Riley era, the Cornhuskers are still a brand name in college football. And a road victory against another Power 5 program always bodes well for the conference.
http://espn.go.com/blog/pac12/post/_/id/101769/2016-pac-12-ultimate-road-trip-oregon-goes-b1g-in-week-3
Dear Ted Miller,
Apparently you’ve forgotten whom Mike Riley brought to Lincoln with him as defensive coordinator. I’d take the ducks over Nebby with Celine Dion as QB in this game.
In fact there are 3 other games that have more intrigue than this one (I think anyone with half a brain can figure out which three). Ridiculous pick and this game won’t be close, over by the end of the 3rd quarter when the ducks bring mascot puddles in to hand the ball off to whatever walk on RB that just so happens to be eligible and not accused of raping any females in the vicinity of Lane County.
You guys are really optimistic. I have this Beavers team beating Idaho and maybe Colorado, but that’s about it. Everyone else on the slate has way better players than we do.
“Darrien Stevens says:
July 26, 2016 at 11:27 pm
Rating: 0 (from 2 votes)
I’m ready to fight anyone right now. That’s what I thought! Now time to check some chins!1!!”
Catch a couple hard shots to the noggin in that one??
You’re crazy, they will definitely kick the shit out of the Ducks.
To answer the initial question, here’s my prediction:
@ Minnesota– L
Idaho State– W
Boise State- L
@Colo– W
Cal– L
Utah- W
@UW- L
WSU- L
@Stanford–L
@UCLA–L
Zona- L
Oregon–W
4-8 sounds about right, assuming we can maintain competent QB play.
Submitted too early. To elaborate:
I think Gophers win on homefield advantage. The X-factor here could be Seth Collins though. Effectively deployed in a slash role, he would be very hard to stop and there won’t be much/any film available to prepare for. This assumes he’s moved past the drama and is ready to work.
Boise St through Utah is a winnable stretch for us. I think these are all close games for various reasons. Boise St and Colo should be comparable to us talent-wise. Cal and Utah have a significant talent advantage, but they’re both breaking in new QBs. This is especially brutal for CAL with their air raid. Garretson is “new” to OSU but at least has logged significant game time. Utah (as always) will be an interesting game due to familiarity with schemes, and added coaching motivation.
Don’t see us likely to pick up a win between UW and Arizona. Lot of talent, lot of away games, poor depth for the Beavs. Maybe we get lucky if everything goes our way for one of em.
I don’t think Oregon is a good football team this year. Don’t think they get lucky again with another one-and-done QB. I think they’d have had a 3 win season last year (including CW loss) without Vernon Adams in the fold.
I think Helfrich has tried his best to stay the course that Chip had left them on. Problem is, Chip was never trying to develop “the perfect system” in the way that say Mike Riley was. Continuous innovation and change defined his approach, and I just see Helfrich doing his best to make Chip’s last schemes work as is. But without the innovation, it just becomes a beatable gimmick offense.
I think Shaw has taken a similar “stay the course” schematic approach piggybacking off of Harbaugh, but I think he’s been more successful because that system is smashmouth, old-school football. You’re going to know exactly what we want to know, but you won’t be able to stop us. Very different than the misdirection that defines the Oregon O.
Like many, I think OSU will be better, but Im not sure what it will mean for wins. Predicting wins, while fun, it really hard to do. Injuries and even weather can have major impacts. I think the Beavs could win around 5 games on the schedule and be competitive in others if they can stay healthy. But they may get lucky (not that I root for injuries) and maybe key players are out for our opponents and they could get a 6th.
The offense has potential IF pieces can come together. The defense is a total unknown in my book. They cant be much worse than last year. Plus I think if the offense is better, the D will look better just in the fact that they wont be on the field all game.
Ill wait til fall camp to make my predictions. It will be interesting to see how fast the players can pick up the system and which freshman and juco guys are the real deal.
Yeah, I want to wait also. See how it looks to be coming together.
Holy Shit…one of the WSU players/thugs actually split a guy’s jaw:
WSU Football Players Allegedly Left A Student With A Broken Jaw During This Wild House Party Brawl
http://flip.it/2OXZ-
Dang. That is messed up. Guy who did it may have earned himself a felony.
Here is most descriptive article I have found of events that unfolded. ‘More than 5 or 6 WSU Players involved’. Asked to stop destroying property twice than asked if the would leave, then sucker punched so hard it broke his jaw,and he was knocked unconscious. Also were throwing lighted fireworks intentionally at people. Disgusting behavior:
http://deadspin.com/washington-state-football-players-brawl-at-house-party-1784358799
I’m seeing a few dark equipment sheds getting put to good use
Yea okay, but he knows when a “but” and/or a “maybe” should be left out of an article.
He brought a dictionary to a math test.
It depends on Garrettson’s accuracy: Looping wobblers = 2 wins. Tight and in the basket = 5 wins.
I submitted this before the 95 season:
Idaho W
Pacific W
N. Texas W
ASU W
UW W
WSU W
Cal W
Stanford W
Arizona W
SC W
UO W
I don’t do pre-season forecasts anymore. JB
I really don’t give 2 shits what the record ends up being just fucking please don’t let the ducks win in reser AGAIN. Don’t have my hopes up though. Shitty Offensive Line play was overshadowed last year by comically, epically shitty Quarterback play but this year I think it rises to the top as our biggest problem
Can I get a witness? Which one of ya will step up huh?
To a 12 yr old? Lol go get a hobby and be productive
Back to school can’t come soon enough.
But he already caught all the Pokemon
DIck Sargent or Dick York? Either way a Dick, I suppose.
That’s what Samantha said…
New social media rules for coaches re:recruiting go into effect tonight. Basically, they can like/retweet/subtweet about recruits posts and they can share their recruits posts on facebook. This is about to get really stupid, really fast.
https://twitter.com/KG7MAJ/status/759069918620856321
I was of the 9-3 camp last year and we went opposite of that….Cause I was over optimistic…So here’s my prediction for this year:
8CT/9 PM ET @ Minnesota– L 50/50 due to time of game
Idaho State– W
Boise State- W
@Colo– L
Cal– L
Utah- W
@UW- L
WSU- W
@Stanford–L
@UCLA–L
Zona- L
Oregon–W
5-7 is my way too early prediction. I don’t know if we’ll be a road team this year, but Minnesota will be a test and we could win it because the game starts at 8pm in Minnesota….So it’ll go past midnight there, but it will feel like a home evening game for us if the players don’t adjust for the time zone yet. This could bode well for us or even out the score and in that regard.
Are you guys who are predicting a Utah win high?
I know weed is legal in Oregon now, but come on, that is crazy talk.
4 wins at best, 3 likely, 2 wouldn’t terribly surprise me. I would love to be proven wrong.
We will be better, but the entire Pac had a head start getting better 4+ years ago.
My realistic take below. 4-8 feels about right given the incredibly steep curve we need to climb from the basement last year. Any better than this I’ll be thrilled, any worse and the season will be a disappointment.
Minnesota– L
Idaho State– W
Boise State- W
Colo– W
Cal– L
Utah- L
UW- L
WSU- L
Stanford–L
UCLA–L
Zona- W
Oregon–L
I’ll repost what I did earlier when I was doing the power rating report:
(- means W, + means L)
@ Minnesota +10.5
Idaho State -24.5
Boise State +13.5
@ Colorado +9
California +8.5
Utah +11.5
@ Washington +25
Washington State +10.5
@ Stanford +24.5
@ UCLA +20.5
Arizona +8
Oregon +14.5
The problem isn’t that Oregon State won’t be better. The problem is that they need to get better faster than everyone else in the conference. This team would beat last year’s by double digits. There’s just so much ground to make up. Not to mention they have a very difficult schedule and the bye doesn’t come at the best time.
Also, here’s the power rating results for each team in the Pac-12 Conference (how many times they’re favored vs not) – I did this exercise for all 128 FBS teams:
PACIFIC-12 CONFERENCE CW CL OW OL SCHED
[North Division]
Washington Huskies 9 0 12 0 55
Stanford Cardinal 8 1 10 2 3
Oregon Ducks 6 3 8 4 15
Washington State Cougars 4 5 6 6 49
California Golden Bears 1 8 2 10 2
Oregon State Beavers 0 9 1 11 5
[South Division]
UCLA Bruins 8 1 10 2 4
USC Trojans 6 3 8 4 1
Arizona State Sun Devils 4 5 7 5 32
Utah Utes 4 5 7 5 31
Arizona Wildcats 3 6 5 7 51
Colorado Buffaloes 1 8 3 9 9
[Pac-12 Title game: Washington over UCLA]
Non-Conference Opponent Projections:
Minnesota: 7-5, 4-5 conference – T-4th Place Big Ten West
Boise State 12-0, 8-0 conference – 1st Place Mountain West Mountain