06.Mar.2015 Fresno State @ Oregon State
5:35pm. There’s a live stream for all four games on the main site.
Good test for the Beavs (Fresno 7-5 and historically good), who ran up their stats vs Grambling St and Portland. We’ll see if that was them bullying on poor talent, or if they have a legitimate lineup this year. This is Fresno’s first visit to Corvallis since 1952, which is pretty amazing, and only their 6th meeting since 1991.
This series has me a bit worried. Baseball is the king of “regressions toward the mean” — and we know hitting at a .400 clip is unsustainable. Does this mean they hit .200? No. Just that fewer runs and a lower average is probable.
The pitching is starting to get into a groove, but again, vs weak opponents. A 3.83 team ERA is respectable and workable if the offense is truly this dynamic. I’d place the over/under at 2.5, and expect 3 with sound play (D has been shaky), and 2 if they don’t tighten things up.