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Fans Should Admit When They’re Wrong

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Over the past two years of writing this blog, I haven't been wrong too often. I'm not saying that to be arrogant or act like a know-it-all jerk. Honestly, anyone can do what I do. It's simply observation followed by writing down said observation.

However, I get things wrong from time to time. Watching hoops last night, it became clear to me I was wrong about Joe Burton. I couldn't stand his game the past two years. Yes, he could pass, but the passes were too hard and resulted in turnovers. Robinson stuck with him. As many of you know, I have had a man-crush on Robinson all along, and even when the team was bad, I was hesitant to criticize him. Mainly because I saw he could recruit, and was trying damn hard to be patient and let those recruits develop. Well, that has panned out nicely so far this year (but Robinson isn't out of the woods yet…let's see how he performs in the conference schedule). Anyway, Robinson stuck with Burton, and now Burton is playing great.

The point?

The point is that I was wrong. Even critical fans should look in the mirror and admit this once and a while. The lesson is not only humility, but in understanding why you were wrong, you become even more astute. For example, I saw Burton's "soft hands" and passing ability all along, but I was wrong to assume he would never learn how to take velocity off the passes and play with less overall anxiety.

Here is a great question: could we be wrong about Riley & Co.?

Well, I know Riley will get the team to 8 wins at some point in the future. I think fans who are overly bearish on Riley right now will be proven wrong. Fans who think he'll get the Beavs to a Rose Bowl will also be proven wrong. Fans who believe Riley will cap out at 8 wins in a year or two will be right. So, it depends on expectations. I think Bob D is right  in that Riley didn't become stupid overnight. The foundations of the current problems began in 2006, precisely the time I was banned from all popular Beaver forums for bringing them up. Now I see a good foundation via improved recruiting, and like the case of Joe Burton, it'll take a year or two of development before they all reach their potential.

The alarming thing here is that Riley couldn't (and still can't) recognize glaring problems himself. For example, he missed the obvious recruiting problems back in 2007, and without immediate defensive tackle help or a change to a 3-4 scheme, he'll be lucky to win four games next year. So, my criticism of Riley today is this: where is the urgency? Identify that you need two D1 defensive tackles. Then find two legitimate D1 defensive tackles…and pronto. There is playing time to sell. This should not be so difficult. I cannot stress how important DTs are to the future of this program. It reminds me of 2007 all over again when I warned about the lack of (a) offensive linemen and (b) defensive backs.

Anyway, don't want to tangent. The point of this article being I hold myself to the same standards as the people I criticize. I think every critical fan should do this. Admit when you're wrong, understand why you were wrong, and bounce back a wiser and fairer evaluator.

Basketball: Portland State @ Oregon State

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Tip-off tonight is 7pm local time.

PSU beat common opponent CSUB by 14 point, Beavs beat them by 24. The transitive property doesn't apply, but if it did, Beavs by 10.

Beavs are 11-0 all-time versus PSU, and PSU is 4-45 all-time versus Pac-12 schools.

Considering this is one of the best beaver teams in 20 years, I don't think this is the year Portland State ends their drought. Beavs should take care of business handily. Figure a 20 point win at minimum.

Recruiting News

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From the Oregonian:

The junior college early signing period for mid-year transfers begins Wednesday, and the Beavers hope to pick up commitments from several juco prospects that have already made their official visits.

December graduates looking to sign during the early period include: Walnut (Calif.) Mt. San Antonio College wide receiver Alonzo Agwuenu and defensive lineman Visesio Salt; and Palm Desert (Calif.) College of the Desert linebacker Cade Cowdin.

Looking ahead to January, expect the Beavers to make a heavy push for defensive players. Of the 16 players currently committed, 11 play on offense.

Some players who are expected to make a trip to Corvallis next month include 4-star DB Marcus Rios and 3-star DE Nate Lese both from Elk Grove, Calif., ATH Jonavaughn Williams from San Juan Capistrano, Calif., and 3-star DB Kevin Peterson from Wagoner, Okla.

Marcus Rios is the big news.

At this point, I feel safe saying the Beavs have little shot with Salt or Williams (and probably Peterson, too).

Basketball: Howard @ Oregon State

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JackBeav

I’m on the road, so I don’t have the time to do a comprehensive write-up for Howard. The key points for them are that they are young, fairly active on defense, and they have about 20% focus in any given game… meaning they will find about seven or eight minutes where they will click and make a run.

Fortunately for the Beavs this run will not mitigate the other 80% of the game. Howard will miss a lot of shots, and they will lose the handle a lot. It may not be pretty.

The long and the short of it? The Beavs should win pretty handily.

Beavs 86 – Bison 64

Angry

There was a time not long ago when fans fretted Howard. Now we're licking our chops. Can the Beavs put up 100? Will they win by 40? These are the questions, rather than "Will they win?" It's refreshing. Hopefully the team isn't overlooking these guys like I am.

I'm with JackBeav: 80 something to 60 something.

No TV for tonight's game, but I believe it's available via the official site's stream.

New Commit (??)

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Dyllon Mafi. JC Linebacker. Rumored to have committed.

Here’s his film.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yKT-ONrLHSU

He looks fast and gets off blocks fairly well. Another off the grid/low hanging fruit recruit, though. Not what we need or want to see out of Riley & co. He has zero stars and no D1 offers.